Insights

Signals from the Philippine power market

Analysis, regulation notes, and price-risk primers from the PowerSense team — written for the people who sign the electricity bills.

AnalysisJune 2026 · 8 min read
Solar at midday, spikes at seven: reading the Philippine duck curve

Midday solar is pushing spot prices toward zero while the evening ramp gets steeper every dry season. What the deepening duck curve means for your load schedule, your contract mix — and the millions that sit between the two.

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Hydro drawdowns and cooling demand pushed evening intervals past ₱9/kWh. The contracting window this creates won't stay open long.

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Smaller loads can now band together and choose their supplier. A practical checklist for facilities near the threshold.

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Spot exposure isn't a strategy. How bilateral contracts, load shifting, and forecasting work together to cap your peak-hour risk.

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Energy and reserves now clear together. The second-order effects on price formation are showing up in the data.

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From single-buyer to spot market, open access, and the green energy option. A short history — and where the rules go next.

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A year of metering data holds a map of your savings. The patterns we look for first — and the ones that pay back fastest.

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